Thursday, October 17, 2002

The Tories are in trouble concludes Iain and I have to agree. THe way to win power back after a long absence is first to understand why you are out of power, and to understand that you need to look at the social and economic changes that have occurred since you were last in power.

New Labour did this -- they realised that the old, trade-unionist manual working class had gone, and its it place was a broad middle-class which wanted privatization, more choice, and all the issues that would have been considered right-wing, but which also valued public services (of which it is by far the largest user) and was socially relatively liberal.

The Tories now need to understand this too -- shouting 'Save the Pound' or 'Save the Countryside' or 'Ban immigrants' might makes the blue-rinse brigade at the back of the conference hall go all tingly, but it gets you stuck on 30% of the vote.