Today's
Guardian/ICM opinion poll suggests that the Cherie Blair Affair has helped them not one bit. Labour are on 41%, the Tories 27% and the Lib Dems 23%. ICM are usually the polling organization most favourable to the Conservatives so this is bad news. As I have said many times to win an election the Tories will probably need a 7% lead in the poll and to get a majority an 11% lead. Intrestingly if this opinion poll was what happened at a Gen Election (across all seats) David Davies and Oliver Letwin would lose their seats (to the Lib Dems).
posted by Matthew @ 12/17/2002 01:49:00 PM
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