Monday, February 10, 2003

Is Nato finished? It certainly looks that way, although a fudge remains likely. However it clearly will never be the same again as probably isn't long for this world. What of the EU? The EU is likely to survive given foreign policy unity has never been its strong point, and so the disarray shown among EU leaders (remember the EU public is pretty solidly anti-war unliike the American public who are split) probably won't have much of a long-term impact.

Robert Harris writing last year in The Telegraph correctly banned the use of the Macmillan quote, 'EDBE', but it is quite remarkable how thanks to the events of the past year, Tony Blair, who only recently was speaking of Britain's 'destiny' in Europe, is currently coming close to splitting Europe down the middle. Of course you could argue, as the WSJ did, that this is proof that Britian can be influential in Europe without cutting its ties to the US. However I don't think this is quite the influence the Europhiles, sill reeling from the news about Woy, craved.