Monday, April 07, 2003

Of all the problems the current UK assualt on Iraq will cause this country in the longer-term, possibly the greatest is the end it signifies to our having any semblance of an independent foreign policy. This could hit home sooner than we think if the hawks in the US get their war and take the War on Terror to Syria, Iran, Saudia Arabia or Egypt (see below).

Say (and here 90% of the Conservative party, most of the right-wing media, and almost all right-wing UK bloggers will get very confused) our foreign policy goals are not EXACTLY the same as the US? Would there be anyway in which we could dissuade the 'Old' Adminstration, Cheney and Rumsfeld, from attacking these countries? Make them go to the UN Security Council? Not a chance. We've clearly stated we don't believe that is necessary to invade another country. Form an alliance with France and Germany? Not a chance. We've clearly dismissed their opposition to the Iraq invasion and self-serving and short-term.

In short, the derogation of UK foreign policy to the Bush administration has left us estranged from much of the foreign policy tools and allies which we have called upon, with great success, throughout the second half of the twentieth century. While our foreign policy aims are the same as those of the US (which arguably they were in Iraq) this will only cause minor problems. Once they diverge...