Swinging in different ways
Anthony has a good go (using not-very-helpful data) at calculating what the latest poll results would mean in a general election. Usually the analysis is based on an uniform swing which yields a Labour majority of something like 100, whereas Anthony suggests due to the Tories doing relatively better in the South Labour would actually only get a majority of 35.ps It should be noted that even here Labour, on a seat share of only 1.5% higher than the Conservatives, have 120 seats more.
posted by Matthew @ 7/23/2003 01:32:00 PM
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