Wednesday, August 20, 2003

Extrapolative Madness

I doubt many readers here also go to Steven Den Beste's page, so I thought I'd just share with you this classic of what D^2 called 'extrapolative lunacy' . It's Den Beste musing (2709 words) on the future of Europe.

"We can't discount the possibility that in fifty years the EU and most existing national governments in Europe will be gone, replaced by a new Fascist dictatorship, which among other things chooses to make the investment in a modern military and which hopes to use it in yet another round of world conquest.

And we might not be able to interfere before this point, because France has nuclear weapons. Even though Europe won't have the ability to threaten us using conventional forces for the next few decades, they do have the ability to threaten us with nuclear conflagration. Of course, if they nuked us we'd also nuke them, but the threat of it means that we might not be able to significantly interfere to prevent the rise of a new Europe-wide Fascist state, which could follow historical patterns and become militaristic and expansionist.