Thursday, October 30, 2003

Decapitation

Somewhere in blogland it has been pointed out that Michael Howard's Folkestone constituency is not the safest in the world, with a majority of 5,907. The Lib Dems would require a 6% swing to take it.

Now for the Lib Dems to achieve this would be quite an achievement, particularly as if Howard has any future he will need a large national swing to the Conservatives. But a determined campaign, and tactical voting from Labour (who had nearly 10,000 votes) would at least keep Howard on his toes during the election campaign, reducing his profile elsewhere.

Then again that might be a good thing for the Tories...