IDS
A few thoughts (probably repeated everywhere by everyone) on IDS.1. He needs a large majority to survive, not say 60% of the vote. This is not an election of two candidates where IDS can say 'Well they would prefer X but they also support me'. This is a vote of confidence. Imagine the disaster for IDS when Labour can say 'Even 40% of his backbenchers have no confidence in his leadership'.
2. He might survive. ITN last night said he was a gonner but Andrew Marr pointed out 'you never know'.
3. According to an interesting story in the Independent the Conservative Party in parliament with him is in dire straits. Two members of the whips office are said to have been canvassing for letters against him.