Previous elections
A quick guide to previous elections against a sitting Tory leader and/or Tory PM. Only once has the incumbent lost (Heath) although Thatcher did not win in 1990 (the rules IIRC were a majority plus 15%).1995, July 4
John Major 218
John Redwood 89
1990, November 20
Margaret Thatcher 204
Michael Heseltine 152
1989, December 5th
Margaret Thatcher 314
Sir Anthony Meyer 33
1975, February 4th
Margaret Thatcher 130
Edward Heath 119
Hugh Fraser 16
ps Nick Barlow has the odds on who will be the next Tory leader.