Howard makes no difference
Tucked away in the middle of the Guardian there is a new ICM opinion poll. I can never get particularly enthused about questions other than 'who will you vote for' but the Guardian flags it because 46% surveyed believed Blair will be out of a job by December 2004 (48% don't).In terms of voting shares I think we can safely say that Michael Howard has not made things worse for the Tories, nor has he made things better (in terms of immediate appeal -- if he performs better then obviously there will be a long-term effect). In October, November and December ICM have Labour on 38%, the Tories on 35%. The Lib Dems have risen from 21% to 22%, also puncturing the view that Howard has somehow skewered them.
(some more details on the Blair questions here)
ps Whilst on opinion polls I've just done two YouGov ones, both on the London Mayoral election and Steve Norris's links with Jarvis. Are the Tories about to ditch him? Perhaps they'll ask Ken to join them?
posted by Matthew @ 12/17/2003 03:38:00 PM
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