More opinion polls
Via Anthony there's an interesting and detailed Mori poll. Best to look yourself, though two things caught my eye.One, the relationship between economic confidence and voting intention seems as strong as ever, though (perhaps to due with Iraq?) the government seems to be a little weaker than it should be.
Two, everyone by now knows that in opinion polls Labour retain a solid lead amongst all voters but on those certain to vote the parties are level-pegging, or even a Tory lead. However (this is the last page) there's also a gender bias.
On all respondents, men split 40-33-20 (lab/con/lib) whilst women split 39-30-24. However on those certain to vote it is 35-40-20 for men, in other words a large proportion of male Labour voters say they won't vote. For women it is 35-32-26, so the same direction, but much less extreme.
posted by Matthew @ 5/19/2004 11:11:00 AM
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