Sunday, October 10, 2004

ICM poll

There's a new ICM poll out in the Sunday Telegraph, taken after Michael Howard's speech.

It puts the Tories on 30%, Labour on 39%, and the Lib Dems on 23%. This is the largest Labour lead since May 2003, and on any reasonable assumption about how votes translate into seats would give Labour a large majority.

There is the possibility that it is a 'rogue' poll, or is at the extremes of the margin of error. If not then it's a pretty damning condemnation of Michael Howard's strategy.