ICM poll
The detailed data from the shock Sunday Telegraph ICM poll is now up on their website (Found via Anthony Wells). If you recall (or look down a bit), you'll see it said Labour led the Tories by 39% to 30%.It may have been a rogue poll. We'll never know (even if next month it goes back down to a more normal Labour lead we don't know whether that's how public opinion has changed -- remember the Tory conference gives exposure to the Tories, and this might be a bad thing).
Anyway what caught my eye was the 18-24 age group, and the 25-34 age group results. In the former the Tories are third on 14%, with Labour on 58% and the Lib Dems on 25%. It does not appear that the Tories' higher-education policy is winning votes from students.
The best age group, the 25-34 one, is even more interesting. Here the Tories are in 3rd place, on 28%, but Labour are in second, on 32%. The Lib Dems lead with 35%.
posted by Matthew @ 10/12/2004 04:00:00 PM
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