Saturday, November 27, 2004

Polls

The latest YouGov poll is out showing Labour 3% ahead, on 35%. Anthony has a discussion of YouGov's interesting past-vote recall.

There were a few interesting findings.

First, just how popular the Tories are in London. Unless I've read it wrongly, they lead 47% to 24% (in a poll remember, in which they are behind). In the rest of the South they lead by only 1% (34% to 33%).

Second, the widespread support for a ban on smoking in public places, 76% in total, and that seems pretty standard across all regions, classes and age groups.

Third, consistent support for a ban on fox hunting (60% to 32%), and strangely the only region where a ban comes near to not having plurality support is London, 54% to 39%.

London is heavily over-represented in YouGov's sample (it is weighted downwards) and although all of these results are explainable, I wonder if their sample is a little skewed.