What does it mean for the UK?
And particularly British politics. It was discussed before the election what a Kerry victory would mean - some said good for Blair, as Kerry would be more willing to listen to Britain, and shared some of Blair's aims in other policies. Others said bad, it would be seen as a referendum on the war, and the war party lost. Blair would be left vulnerable.Essentially what it boiled down to is Blair would prefer Kerry as President, but didn't want to see Bush lose. So in reverse, today is good for Blair in that his partner in crime remains in the White House, his policy on Iraq intact. Overally though, it's going to be bad for Blair. His relationship with Bush has been a loser all the way for him personally. Bush has failed to listen to Blair on any aspect of policy, from Iraq to the environment. Blair has recieved nothing in return for his support.
The advantage for Blair that it's worse for the Conservatives. He and the President have no relationship. Michael Howard is banned from the White House until 2008, and perhaps longer if the Republicans or Bushes win again. It is beyond me how he considers he could be PM whilst that ban remains in place, though I salute his courage.
Update: Howard, you'll be pleased to know, is trying to make amends with a suitably grovelling congratulations comment.
posted by Matthew @ 11/03/2004 01:58:00 PM
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