Election update
A cold sweat came across me as I realised that of my 60 or so loyal readers, there may be one who only has access to a PC, but Internet Explorer has corrupted and for some reason can only access this site, and thus they are in need of an election update.Here is the news so far.
The exit poll suggested Labour 37%, Tories 33%, Libs 22% (or 21%, I've seen both). This would give Labour a majority of over 100, but the exit polls also say in marginal seats Labour will do badly, with a swing of around 4%, so predicted a majority of 65.
The first four results, all absurdly safe Labour seats, showed a swing of 4.8%. This would deprive Labour of its vote share plurality, and I think give a majority of less than 50 (if the marginals effect remained on top of it).
So, so far, Labour doing badly, but on course for a 3rd election victory. Clearly a lot of their voters, perhaps more than 10%, have either stayed at home, voted Lib Dem or to the Tories. The Tories will do reasonably well in terms of seats, though it will still be there worst election performance other than the two Labour landslides since before the war. The Lib Dems might do ok, or badly, it's unclear.
The BNP seem to be doing well without caveats, with a 2-3% share of the vote in a couple of the early seats, up from basically nothing.
That was all a little dull, so for that reader whose computer is bust, here's a link to the BBC
posted by Matthew @ 5/05/2005 11:14:00 PM
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