Thursday, July 21, 2005

Burglary

For those considering not renewing their household contents insurance the latest crime figures show the chance of being a victim of attempted household burglarly is 2.7%, or 1/37, the chance of the burglar gaining entry is 1.7%, or 1/58, and the chance of him nicking something is 1.2%, or 1/83.

So if burglary rates stay the same, and you live in an average area, your chance of getting through life from 30 to 70 without being victim of a burglar who gains entry but doesn't take anything is 1/2. It's probably higher than this actually. Burglarly rates are falling (under Michael Howard for instance attempted burglaries were more than double what they are today, with fewer households). For the median person it's probably higher still, as a large proportion of burglaries take place in a few specific geographical areas*. Thus the median person will probably have a much higher chance of never being a victim.

* Of course this is not so good if you live in such an area.