It's Ming!
So SMC wins, taking 45% in the first ballot, to Chris Huhne's 32% and Simon Hughes 23%. In the second ballot SMC picked up 13% of those Hughes' votes, with Huhne getting just 10%.My view of SMC is that he is far too old, but you don't want to hear that. It wasn't a particularly good result for YouGov, who have been Britain's most accurate pollster in many elections, and particularly in hard-to-guess ones such as leadership elections, ie the Tories'.
YouGov's poll of Lib Dem members predicted the result would be 38% Huhne, 34% SMC, 27% Hughes, ie a major underestimate of SMC. Of course the poll was taken three weeks ago, and it's quite possible the situation changed in that time (though the Telegraph article makes clear people had thought SMC was in the lead until the poll was published).
I'm pretty sure the betting markets did better, as they always do, regardless of whether they did.
posted by Matthew @ 3/02/2006 03:13:00 PM
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